-By Justin "Filthy Liberal Scum" Rosario
February 18, 2013- Nate Silver, the oft-attacked numbers guru that accurately predicted both the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections with eerie accuracy, has some bad news for Karl Rove.
I really hope Rove completely ignores him.
Silver took a look at Rove’s new Conservative Victory Project, a super PAC designed to help “electable” Republican candidates win primaries. This is the latest volley in the expanding GOP civil war that has pitted establishment Republicans against the astroturf Tea Party that the establishment completely lost control of. What Rove and others had first viewed as a convenient way to re-brand the failed conservative movement turned out to be a freak show filled with very exciting candidates. “Exciting” in this context meaning “able to drive the base in paroxysms of almost indecent ecstasy.” But when introduced to the general public, these Tea Party candidates went from “exciting” to “completely unelectable” unless it was in a deep red district or state. The rest of the country, Democrats, Independents and even moderate Republicans recoiled in horror at what came out of these people’s mouths. In other words, the Tea Party wears the ugliness at the core of conservatism on its sleeve and makes no effort to hide it. In fact, the Tea party seems unusually proud of its nativism misogyny, racism and homophobia.
Karl Rove, like the rest of the establishment GOP, knows that this is a very bad idea. For decades, Republicans have worked to master double speak and dog whistles. You don’t say, “ni**er.” You say “welfare queen,” “food stamp president” or “inner city.” You don’t call Social Security a “ponzi scheme.” You talk about “choice,” “privatization” or “making Social Security solvent.” Under no circumstances are you to attack birth control and the right to for women to have sex without consequences directly. You attack abortion instead and oppose all forms of sexual education
The Tea Party is manifestly incapable of doing this and Karl Rove knows it. Rove is not interested in changing the core beliefs of the right, all he wants to do is find candidates that are smart enough to keep their mouth shut until AFTER they’re in office. At first blush, it’s not a bad strategy and it worked for decades.
Nate Silver suggests otherwise, though.